SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 12
Download to read offline
Event Update | Oil & Gas
                                                                                                                       August 16, 2010



 Cairn India                                                                               NEUTRAL
 Vedanta buys majority stake in Cairn India                                                CMP                                Rs333
                                                                                           Target Price                           -
                                                                                           Investment Period                          -
 Deal details: Cairn Energy Plc has entered into an agreement with Vedanta
 Resources Plc for sale of 40-51% stake in Cairn India. The success of the 20%            Stock Info
 mandatory open offer to minorities will determine the extent of stake sale by            Sector                              Oil & Gas
 Cairn Energy Plc. The all-cash deal is being executed at Rs405/share, wherein            Market Cap (Rs cr)                       63,155
 Rs355/share will be towards the sale and purchase agreement and the balance              Beta                                        1.0
 Rs50/share constituting the non-compete fee. Thus, the open offer to the                 52 Week High / Low                      358/230
 minorities will be at the lower price of Rs355/share, which is at 6.7% premium to        Avg. Daily Volume                       467896
 the close price. Thus, the minority shareholders are at a disadvantage. The offer is     Face Value (Rs)                                 10
 subject to the government approval. The open offer will be made through Sesa             BSE Sensex                               18,051
 Goa. Post the transaction, Sesa Goa will hold 20% in Cairn India, with Vedanta           Nifty                                     5,418
 holding 31- 40%.
                                                                                          Reuters Code                            CAIL.BO
 Acceptance ratio contingent on Petronas stance: If Petronas tenders its share, the       Bloomberg Code                      CAIR@IN
 acceptance ratio in case of 100% tendering, will be 53%. However, if Petronas
 does not tender its share, the acceptance ratio would be higher at 88%. Under
                                                                                          Shareholding Pattern (%)
 both scenarios, at our target price for the stock, we believe that there are limited
                                                                                          Promoters                                  62.4
 upsides from current levels in case one decides to tender the shares. Thus, one
                                                                                          MF / Banks / Indian Fls                     7.3
 should be indifferent between tendering the shares in the open offer or retaining
                                                                                          FII / NRIs / OCBs                          26.0
 them.
                                                                                          Indian Public / Others                      4.3
 Outlook and Valuation: We believe the transfer of the ownership of Cairn India
 from Cairn Energy Plc to Vedanta Resources Plc is unlikely to impact the
 company’s financials. However, the key risk is Vedanta’s lack of experience in           Abs. (%)                   3m     1yr       3yr
 managing the E&P asset portfolio being a new player in the segment. Further, we          Sensex                     6.2   17.1     25.7
 believe that returns to investors will be quite similar in case of tendering the share   Cairn                    14.3    33.6    136.3
 in the open offer or otherwise. Our NAV-based Fair Value of Rs315 assumes
 long-term crude oil price of US $75/bbl, whereas the current stock price is
 discounting long-term average crude price of US $79.1/bbl. Thus, upsides from
 current levels are limited. We recommend Neutral on the stock.


 Key Financials (Consolidated)
  Y/E March (Rs cr)                    FY2009       FY2010E       FY2011E    FY2012E
  Net Sales                              1,433         1,623        7,863      14,761
  % chg                                   41.5           13.3       384.5        87.7
  Net Profits                              803         1,051        4,392       8,752
  OPM (%)                                 60.5           60.4        81.2        83.9
  EPS (Rs)                                  4.2           5.5        23.2        46.1
  P/E (x)                                 78.6           60.1        14.4          7.2
                                                                                          Deepak Pareek
                                                                                          +91 22-4040 3800 Ext:340
  P/BV (x)                                  1.9           1.9         1.7          1.6
                                                                                          Deepak Pareek@angeltrade.com
  RoE (%)                                   2.7           3.2        12.4        23.0
  RoCE (%)                                  1.3           1.7        13.9        25.9     Amit Vora
  EV/Sales (x)                            45.8           37.8         7.6          4.0    +91 22 -4040 3800 Ext: 322
  EV/EBITDA (x)                           75.7           62.5         9.4          4.7    Amit.vora@angeltrade.com

  Source: Company, Angel Research

Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report                                                                       1
Event Update | Oil & Gas



                  Details of the deal

                  Cairn Energy Plc has entered into an agreement with Vedanta Resources Plc for
                  sale of 40-51% stake in its Indian subsidiary, Cairn India. The success of the 20%
                  mandatory (as per the Indian takeover regulations) open offer to minorities will
                  determine the extent of stake sale by Cairn Energy Plc. The all-cash deal is being
                  executed at Rs405/share (US $8.66 as of August 13, 2010 closing exchange rate)
                  wherein Rs355/share (US $7.59) will be towards the sale and purchase agreement
                  and the balance Rs50/share (US $1.07) constituting the non-compete fee. Thus,
                  the 20% mandatory open offer to the other shareholders (except Cairn Energy Plc)
                  will be at the lower price of Rs355/share, which is at 6.7% premium to the close
                  price. Thus, the minority shareholders are at a disadvantage in terms of receiving
                  lesser compensation for selling their stake. The offer is subject to the government
                  approval. The open offer will be made through Sesa Goa. At the end of the
                  transaction, Sesa Goa will hold 20% of Cairn India, with Vedanta itself holding
                  between 31- 40%. Cairn Energy Plc has guided for transaction completion in
                  1QCY2011. Stake sale will fetch Cairn Energy Plc a premium of 21.7% over the
                  current market price. According to our understanding, deal price reflects the long
                  term crude oil prices of US $96.7/bbl.

                  The transaction will result in Cairn Energy Plc receiving cash consideration of
                  between US $6,651mn (for 40% stake sale) and US $8,480mn (for 51% stake
                  sale). The final amount of the consideration payable to Cairn by Vedanta will be
                  determined once the open offer has closed and the number of Cairn India shares
                  subject to valid acceptance under the open offer is known. Thus, post the deal,
                  Cairn Energy Plc on a fully diluted equity base will hold a minority 21.6-10.6%
                  stake in Cairn India.

                  The companies have also entered into a non-compete undertaking, which will
                  cover the territories of Bhutan, Sri Lanka, Pakistan and India, wherein for a period
                  of three years, Cairn Energy Plc will not engage in the business of oil or gas
                  extraction, its transport or processing and any other business, which competes with
                  the business of Cairn India and its subsidiaries as at the completion date in any of
                  those territories. Cairn has also agreed to a non-solicitation agreement for a
                  period of three years with respect to any person who is or has been an officer or
                  senior employee of the Cairn India Group within a year prior to completion.

                  Cairn and Vedanta have also entered into two reciprocal put and call options in
                  respect of the difference in the number of Cairn India shares actually sold to
                  Vedanta and 51% of Cairn India’s fully diluted share capital on completion (for
                  instance, if only 40% of Cairn India’s shares are sold, then for the balance 11%
                  (51% less 40%) the put and call option is applicable). One put and call option is
                  exercisable after July 1, 2012 and the other after July 1, 2013, in both cases at a
                  Rs405/share (US $8.66). Each option may be exercised to a maximum of 5% of
                  the issued share capital of Cairn India, as at the date of exercise of the option. The
                  put and call options will ensure that a majority interest in Cairn India can be sold
                  to Vedanta.

                  Cairn Energy Plc has agreed to give Vedanta a matching pre-emption right over
                  any subsequent disposal by it of any shares where such transaction would result in
                  the intended recipient obtaining more than 20% of the issued share capital of
                  Cairn India.

August 16, 2010                                                                                       2
Event Update | Oil & Gas



                  Acceptance ratio contingent on Petronas stance: Acceptance ratio of the open offer
                  is contingent on the reaction of Petronas to the open offer. If Petronas also tenders
                  its share, the acceptance ratio in case of 100% tendering, will be 53%. However, if
                  Petronas does not tender its share, the acceptance ratio would be higher at 88%.


                  Exhibit 1: Current Shareholding pattern and Acceptance ratio
                   Cairn Energy Plc (%)                                                                 62.4
                   Vedanta Resources (%)                                                                   -
                   Petronas (%)                                                                         14.9
                   Others (%)                                                                           22.7
                   Total (%)                                                                           100.0
                   Acceptance ratio if Petronas does not tender (%)                                     88%
                   Acceptance ratio if Petronas tenders (%)                                             53%
                  Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: based on current no of shares


                  As the extent of the share sale from Cairn Energy Plc is contingent on the success
                  of the open offer by Sesa Goa (Vedanta Group Company), the shareholding
                  pattern post the deal will also vary. We highlight below the shareholding pattern of
                  the company at various levels of acceptance of the open offer.


                  Exhibit 2: Shareholding pattern post the deal under various scenarios
                  Share garnered in offer by Sesa Goa (%)             -    5.0    10.0   11.0   15.0    20.0
                  Cairn Energy Plc will give (%)                  51.0    46.0    41.0   40.0   40.0    40.0
                  Cairn Energy Plc (%)                            10.6    15.6    20.6   21.6   21.6    21.6
                  Vedanta Resources plc (%, incl. Sesa Goa)       51.0    51.0    51.0   51.0   55.0    60.0
                  Petronas (%)                                    14.9    14.9    14.9   14.9   14.9    14.9
                  Others (%)                                      23.5    18.5    13.5   12.5    8.5     3.5
                  Total (%)                                     100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

                  Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: based on diluted no of shares

                  How does the open offer math stack up?

                  The open offer dynamics would continue to hinge on the acceptance ratio, which
                  in turn is dependent on the action of Petronas (14.94% stakeholder in Cairn India).
                  We outline below our working of the acceptance ratio (% of shares likely to
                  accepted in the open offer) under the various scenario and the breakeven point at
                  current levels. We also gauge the sensitivity analysis of the likely returns depending
                  on where the stock price settles post the open offer.

                  Scenario – I: If Petronas does not tender its share in the open offer: In such a
                  scenario, we believe there is likely to be a healthy acceptance ratio of 88.3%
                  assuming all the shareholders agree to tender their shares.




August 16, 2010                                                                                            3
Event Update | Oil & Gas




                  Exhibit 3: Sensitivity Analysis of return based on likely price post open offer
                  Open offer price                                 355 355 355 355 355 355 355
                  Post open offer price                            306 311 316 321 326 331 336
                  Acceptance ratio (%)                             88     88      88    88    88    88    88
                  Avg. selling price                               349 350 350 351 352 352 353
                  Stock return (%, unadjusted for transaction cost) 5.2   5.4     5.5   5.7   5.9   6.1   6.2

                  Source: Company, Angel Research


                  Scenario – II: If Petronas does tender its share in open offer: In such a scenario, we
                  believe there is likely to be a acceptance ratio of 53.3% assuming all the
                  shareholders agree to tender their shares.


                  Exhibit 4: Sensitivity Analysis of return based on likely price post open offer
                  Open offer price                                355 355 355 355 355 355 355
                  Post open offer price                           306 311 316 321 326 331 336
                  Acceptance ratio (%)                             53     53      53    53    53    53    53
                  Avg. selling price                              332 334 337 339 341 344 346
                  Stock return(%, unadjusted for transaction cost) 0.0    0.7    1.4    2.1   2.8   3.5   4.2

                  Source: Company, Angel Research


                  Under both scenarios, at our target price for the stock, we believe that there are
                  limited upsides from current levels in case one decides to tender the shares. Thus,
                  one should be indifferent between tendering the shares in the open offer or
                  retaining them. However, the given the speculation associated with the revision of
                  the open offer price to Rs405/share in line with the price paid to Cairn Energy Plc,
                  there could be decent upsides from current levels. However, chances of the same
                  happening appear slim. As per the SEBI regulation, a promoter is entitled up to
                  25% of the deal price as the non-compete fees. However, we believe higher price
                  in form of non-compete fees only to Cairn Energy Plc is unjustified.

                  Outlook and Valuation

                  We believe the transfer of the ownership of Cairn India from Cairn Energy Plc to
                  Vedanta Resources plc is unlikely to have any repercussion on the company’s
                  financials. However, the key risk associated with the deal is Vedanta’s lack of
                  expertise and experience in managing the asset portfolio as it is a new player in
                  the segment. Also, Cairn Energy Plc’s superior exploratory capacities will also be a
                  matter of deliberation. However, at the current juncture it is premature to assume
                  the deal to have an adverse impact as Cairn India’s current management would
                  continue to run the business in a professional manner.

                  With regards to the open offer, we believe that returns to the current investors will
                  be quite similar in case of tendering the share in the open offer or otherwise. We
                  recommend a Neutral on the stock.

                  On the fundamental aspect, the development work at the Rajasthan block is
                  progressing well, with production from Train-I, II and III and pipeline for crude
                  evacuation already commissioned, while Train-IV and the marine facility is likely to
                  be commissioned in CY2011. The development work undertaken by the company


August 16, 2010                                                                                                4
Event Update | Oil & Gas



                  highlights its superior execution skills. Cairn India has already tied up volumes of
                  1,43,000bpd with four buyers, viz. RIL, IOC, Essar and MRPL, which puts to rest
                  concerns about users of the waxy crude produced from the Rajasthan field.

                  In the absence of any major discoveries and the company’s focus on development
                  of the Rajasthan block, Cairn India’s stock price is likely to be driven by the
                  direction of the crude oil prices, news flow associated with the developmental
                  status and ramp up of sales. In the past, the CIL stock has demonstrated strong
                  correlation with the crude oil prices, which we expect will continue going ahead
                  too. Thus, in spite of our subdued outlook on oil prices, we believe that the stock
                  will benefit from the positive development updates from the Rajasthan block. Thus,
                  given the expected ramp up in production, the earnings-based valuation will
                  increasingly provide a downward support to our valuations.

                  We have calculated Cairn India’s NAV by estimating cash flows on asset-by-asset
                  basis, with associated assumptions for production profile, oil/gas pricing,
                  royalty/cess, opex and fiscal terms. Our NAV calculation is based on long-term
                  crude oil price of US $75/bbl, whereas the current stock price is discounting long-
                  term average crude price of US $79.1/bbl. We ascribe a fair value of Rs315/share
                  and thus upsides from current levels are limited. We recommend Neutral on the
                  stock.




August 16, 2010                                                                                     5
Event Update | Oil & Gas




                  Exhibit 5: SOTP Valuation Summary
                  Particulars (Rs cr)                      FY2011E    FY2012E
                  Rajasthan Block
                  RJ-ON-90/1 (MBA block)                    36,437     38,617
                  Value per share                              192        204
                  RJ-ON-90/1 (MBA EOR)                       5,412      6,062
                  Value per share                               29         32
                  RJ-ON-90/1 (Barmer Hill)                   2,525      2,696
                  Value per share                               13         14
                  RJ-ON-90/1 (Southern fields)                 505        539
                  Value per share                                3          3
                  RJ-ON-90/1 (Other fields)                  4,196      4,480
                  Value per share                               22         24
                  Value of Rajasthan Block                  49,075     52,394
                  Value per share                              259        276
                  CB-OS-2                                      594        413
                  Value per share                                3          2
                  Ravva                                      1,830      1,653
                  Value per share                               10          9
                  Upside potential (KG-DWN-98/2)               302        331
                  Value per share                                2          2
                  Exploratory portfolio upsides              6,231      6,828
                  Value per share                               33         36
                  Total Asset Value                         58,032     61,618
                  Less: Corporate expenditure                2,333      2,243
                  Value per share                               12         12
                  Less: Net debt                              (148)     (288)
                  Value per share                               (1)        (2)
                  Equity value                              55,847     59,663
                  Equity shares (mn)                           190        190
                  Equity value per share                       294       315
                  Source: Company, Angel Research




August 16, 2010                                                              6
Event Update | Oil & Gas




                  Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated)
                  Y/E March (Rs cr)                     CY2007    FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E
                  Gross sales                            1,012      1,433    1,623    7,863   14,761
                  Less: Excise duty                           -          -        -       -        -
                  Net Sales                              1,012      1,433    1,623    7,863   14,761
                  Other operating income                      -          -        -       -        -
                  Total operating income                 1,012      1,433    1,623    7,863   14,761
                  % chg                                              41.5     13.3    384.5     87.7
                  Total Expenditure                        572        566     643     1,477    2,383
                  Operating expenditure                    195        213     425     1,145    2,052
                  Administrative & Staff expenditure       388        331     254      331      331
                  Inc/dec in stock                         (11)        22     (37)        -        -
                  EBITDA                                   440        866     981     6,386   12,379
                  % chg                                              96.7     13.2    551.3     93.8
                  (% of Net Sales)                        43.5       60.5     60.4     81.2     83.9
                  Total Recouped cost                      445        438     357      917     1,522
                  EBIT                                      (5)       428     623     5,469   10,857
                  % chg                                           (8893.6)    45.6    777.2     98.5
                  (% of Net Sales)                        (0.5)      29.9     38.4     69.6     73.6
                  Interest & other Charges                   2          6       29     238      238
                  Other Income                             132        594     422      208      253
                  (% of PBT)                             105.2       58.5     41.6      3.8      2.3
                  Share in profit of Associates               -          -        -       -        -
                  Recurring PBT                            126      1,016    1,016    5,439   10,873
                  % chg                                             707.0      0.0    435.1     99.9
                  Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.)                -        28         -       -        -
                  PBT (reported)                           126        988    1,016    5,439   10,873
                  Tax                                      150        184     (35)    1,047    2,121
                  (% of PBT)                             119.5       18.7     (3.4)    19.2     19.5
                  PAT (reported)                           (25)       803    1,051    4,392    8,752
                  Add: Share of earnings of associate         -          -        -       -        -
                  Less: Minority interest (MI)                -          -        -       -        -
                  Prior period items                          -          -        -       -        -
                  PAT after MI (reported)                  (25)       803    1,051    4,392    8,752
                  ADJ. PAT                                 (25)       832    1,051    4,392    8,752
                  % chg                                                       26.4    317.9     99.3
                  (% of Net Sales)                        (2.4)      58.1     64.8     55.9     59.3
                  Basic EPS (Rs)                          (0.1)       4.2      5.5     23.2     46.1
                  Fully Diluted EPS (Rs)                  (0.1)       4.2      5.5     23.2     46.1
                  % chg                                                       30.8    317.9     99.3




August 16, 2010                                                                                    7
Event Update | Oil & Gas




                  Balance Sheet (Consolidated)
                  Y/E March (Rs cr)              CY2007 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E
                  SOURCES OF FUNDS
                  Equity Share Capital            1,873   1,936    1,943    1,943    1,943
                  Preference Capital                  -       -        -        -        -
                  Reserves& Surplus              27,563 30,867    31,925   35,282   36,866
                  Shareholders Funds             29,436 32,802    33,868   37,225   38,809
                  Minority Interest                   -       -        -        -        -
                  Total Loans                       312   4,356    3,401    3,401    3,401
                  Deferred Tax Liability            492    554      445      470      517
                  Total Liabilities              30,240 37,713    37,714   41,096   42,727
                  APPLICATION OF FUNDS
                  Gross Block                       548   1,445    8,080    9,420   11,170
                  Less: Acc. Depreciation            61     80      120      251      382
                  Net Block                         488   1,365    7,960    9,169   10,788
                  Capital Work-in-Progress        2,467   5,203    1,829    1,927    1,927
                  Goodwill                       25,319 25,319    25,319   25,319   25,319
                  Investments                       713    171     1,712     500      500
                  Current Assets                  2,088   7,268    2,373    7,210    9,307
                  Cash and bank balance           1,332   6,527     929     5,225    6,387
                  Loans & Advances                  487    351      832      832      832
                  Other                             270    390      612     1,153    2,088
                  Current liabilities               835   1,613    1,481    3,029    5,113
                  Net Current Assets              1,253   5,655     893     4,181    4,193
                  Mis. Exp. not written off           -       -        -        -        -
                  Total Assets                   30,240 37,713    37,714   41,096   42,727




August 16, 2010                                                                          8
Event Update | Oil & Gas




                  Cash Flow Statement (Consolidated)
                  Y/E March (Rs cr)               CY2007 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E
                  Profit before tax                  126       988     1,016     5,439    10,873
                  Depreciation                       459       463       149       602     1,237
                  Change in Working Capital            (91)    121     (956)     1,008     1,149
                  Less: Other income                   (73)   (214)    (422)     (208)     (253)
                  Direct taxes paid                    (82)   (146)      (74)   (1,022)   (2,074)
                  Others                             209      (249)         -         -         -
                  Cash Flow from Operations          548       963     (287)     5,819    10,930
                  (Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets    (4,450) (3,161)     (2,899)   (2,918)   (2,855)
                  (Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments     (2,110) (2,506)      1,541    (1,212)         -
                  Other income                       130       152       422       208       253
                  Cash Flow from Investing        (6,430) (5,516)      (936)    (3,923)   (2,602)
                  Issue of Equity                       67    2,532        8          -         -
                  Inc./(Dec.) in loans              (169)     3,767    (956)          -         -
                  Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax)               -       -         -   (1,028)   (7,167)
                  Cash Flow from Financing          (102)     6,299    (948)    (1,028)   (7,167)
                  Inc./(Dec.) in Cash             (5,984)     1,746   (2,171)      869     1,161
                  Opening Cash balances            6,135       150     1,897     (274)       595
                  Closing Cash balances              150      1,897    (274)       595     1,756
                  Closing bank balance             1,181      4,630    1,204     4,630     4,630
                  Closing cash and bank balance    1,332      6,527      929     5,225     6,387




August 16, 2010                                                                                 9
Event Update | Oil & Gas




                  Key Ratios
                  Y/E March                                CY2007 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E
                  Valuation Ratio (x)
                  P/E (on FDEPS)                                    78.6      60.1    14.4     7.2
                  P/CEPS                                   372.5    58.8      52.6    12.6     6.3
                  P/BV                                      2.1      1.9       1.9     1.7     1.6
                  Dividend yield (%)                        0.0      0.0       0.0     1.4     9.7
                  EV/Sales                                  60.2    45.8      37.8     7.6     4.0
                  EV/EBITDA                                138.4    75.7      62.5     9.4     4.7
                  EV/Total Assets                           2.0      1.7       1.6     1.5     1.4
                  Per Share Data (Rs)
                  EPS (Basic)                               (0.1)    4.2       5.5    23.2    46.1
                  EPS (fully diluted)                       (0.1)    4.2       5.5    23.2    46.1
                  Cash EPS                                  0.9      5.7       6.3    26.3    52.7
                  DPS                                         -       -         -      4.6    32.3
                  Book Value                               155.2    172.9     178.6   196.3   204.6
                  Returns (%)
                  ROCE (Pre-tax)                            (0.0)    1.3       1.7    13.9    25.9
                  Angel ROIC (Pre-tax)                      0.5     48.0      12.1    59.9    122.5
                  ROE                                       (0.1)    2.7       3.2    12.4    23.0
                  Turnover ratios (x)
                  Asset Turnover (Gross Block)              2.1      1.4       0.3     0.9     1.4
                  Inventory / Sales (days)                   44      37        52      21      21
                  Receivables (days)                         59      36        52      20      19
                  Payables (days)                          1,322    531        615    435     548
                  Working capital cycle (ex-cash) (days)    (620)   (121)     (102)   (25)    (40)
                  Solvency ratios (x)
                  Net debt to equity                        (0.1)    0.1      (0.1)   (0.1)   (0.1)
                  Net debt to EBITDA                        (4.9)    2.9      (1.9)   (0.5)   (0.4)
                  Interest Coverage (EBIT/Interest)         (3.0)   66.8      21.1    23.0    45.6




August 16, 2010                                                                                      10
Event Update | Oil & Gas




  Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800               E-mail: research@angeltrade.com                   Website: www.angeltrade.com

 DISCLAIMER

 This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
 decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
 such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
 referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
 risks of such an investment.

 Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
 investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
 document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

 Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
 trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
 fundamentals.

 The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
 sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
 document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
 responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
 Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify,
 nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
 Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory,
 compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
 This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
 redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.

 Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
 other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in
 the past.

 Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in
 connection with the use of this information.

 Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please
 refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and
 its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.




 Disclosure of Interest Statement                                               Cairn India
 1. Analyst ownership of the stock                                                 No
 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock                           Yes
 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock                No
 4. Broking relationship with company covered                                      No

 Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.



 Ratings (Returns) :             Buy (> 15%)                      Accumulate (5% to 15%)                 Neutral (-5 to 5%)
                                 Reduce (-5% to 15%)              Sell (< -15%)


August 16, 2010                                                                                                                           11
Event Update | Oil & Gas


   Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059.
                                          Tel: (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800
Research Team

Fundamental:
Sarabjit Kour Nangra            VP-Research, Pharmaceutical                  sarabjit@angeltrade.com
Vaibhav Agrawal                 VP-Research, Banking                         vaibhav.agrawal@angeltrade.com
Vaishali Jajoo                  Automobile                                   vaishali.jajoo@angeltrade.com
Shailesh Kanani                 Infrastructure, Real Estate                  shailesh.kanani@angeltrade.com
Anand Shah                      FMCG, Media                                  anand.shah@angeltrade.com
Deepak Pareek                   Oil & Gas                                    deepak.pareek@angeltrade.com
Sushant Dalmia                  Pharmaceutical                               sushant.dalmia@angeltrade.com
Rupesh Sankhe                   Cement, Power                                rupeshd.sankhe@angeltrade.com
Param Desai                     Real Estate, Logistics, Shipping             paramv.desai@angeltrade.com
Sageraj Bariya                  Fertiliser, Mid-cap                          sageraj.bariya@angeltrade.com
Viraj Nadkarni                  Retail, Hotels, Mid-cap                      virajm.nadkarni@angeltrade.com
Paresh Jain                     Metals & Mining                              pareshn.jain@angeltrade.com
Amit Rane                       Banking                                      amitn.rane@angeltrade.com
John Perinchery                 Capital Goods                                john.perinchery@angeltrade.com
Jai Sharda                      Mid-cap                                      jai.sharda@angeltrade.com
Sharan Lillaney                 Mid-cap                                      sharanb.lillaney@angeltrade.com

Amit Vora                       Research Associate (Oil & Gas)               amit.vora@angeltrade.com
V Srinivasan                    Research Associate (Cement, Power)           v.srinivasan@angeltrade.com
Aniruddha Mate                  Research Associate (Infra, Real Estate)      aniruddha.mate@angeltrade.com
Mihir Salot                     Research Associate (Logistics, Shipping)     mihirr.salot@angeltrade.com
Chitrangda Kapur                Research Associate (FMCG, Media)             chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com
Vibha Salvi                     Research Associate (IT, Telecom)             vibhas.salvi@angeltrade.com
Pooja Jain                      Research Associate (Metals & Mining)         pooja.j@angeltrade.com
Yaresh Kothari                  Research Associate (Automobile)              yareshb.kothari@angeltrade.com
Shrinivas Bhutda                Research Associate (Banking)                 shrinivas.bhutda@angeltrade.com
Sreekanth P.V.S                 Research Associate (FMCG, Media)             sreekanth.s@angeltrade.com
Hemang Thaker                   Research Associate (Capital Goods)           hemang.thaker@angeltrade.com


Technicals:
Shardul Kulkarni                Sr. Technical Analyst                        shardul.kulkarni@angeltrade.com
Mileen Vasudeo                  Technical Analyst                            vasudeo.kamalakant@angeltrade.com
Derivatives:
Siddarth Bhamre                 Head - Derivatives                           siddarth.bhamre@angeltrade.com
Jaya Agarwal                    Derivative Analyst                           jaya.agarwal@angeltrade.com


Institutional Sales Team:
Mayuresh Joshi                  VP - Institutional Sales                     mayuresh.joshi@angeltrade.com
Abhimanyu Sofat                 AVP - Institutional Sales                    abhimanyu.sofat@angeltrade.com
Nitesh Jalan                    Sr. Manager                                  niteshk.jalan@angeltrade.com
Pranav Modi                     Sr. Manager                                  pranavs.modi@angeltrade.com
Sandeep Jangir                  Sr. Manager                                  sandeepp.jangir@angeltrade.com
Ganesh Iyer                     Sr. Manager                                  ganeshb.Iyer@angeltrade.com
Jay Harsora                     Sr. Dealer                                   jayr.harsora@angeltrade.com
Meenakshi Chavan                Dealer                                       meenakshis.chavan@angeltrade.com
Gaurang Tisani                  Dealer                                       gaurangp.tisani@angeltrade.com


Production Team:
Bharathi Shetty                 Research Editor                              bharathi.shetty@angeltrade.com
Simran Kaur                     Research Editor                              simran.kaur@angeltrade.com
Bharat Patil                    Production                                   bharat.patil@angeltrade.com
Dilip Patel                     Production                                   dilipm.patel@angeltrade.com



August 16, 2010                                                                                                   12

More Related Content

What's hot

Financial Modeling Case on FMCG Sector
Financial Modeling Case on FMCG SectorFinancial Modeling Case on FMCG Sector
Financial Modeling Case on FMCG SectorPristine Careers
 
Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010
Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010
Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010Angel Broking
 
Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010
Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010
Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010Angel Broking
 
Denso India Quick Take
Denso India Quick TakeDenso India Quick Take
Denso India Quick TakeAngel Broking
 
Fidelity equity fact sheet_december2011
Fidelity equity fact sheet_december2011Fidelity equity fact sheet_december2011
Fidelity equity fact sheet_december2011atul baride
 
Takeover panorama october 2007-vol xiii - 2007-10-11
Takeover panorama   october 2007-vol xiii - 2007-10-11Takeover panorama   october 2007-vol xiii - 2007-10-11
Takeover panorama october 2007-vol xiii - 2007-10-11Corporate Professionals
 
Orchid chemicals event update-10-06-10
Orchid chemicals event update-10-06-10Orchid chemicals event update-10-06-10
Orchid chemicals event update-10-06-10Angel Broking
 
PDF Pensions, Ian Bird, Foster Denovo
PDF Pensions, Ian Bird, Foster DenovoPDF Pensions, Ian Bird, Foster Denovo
PDF Pensions, Ian Bird, Foster DenovoCFG
 
RBC Research Comment: Prudential/GM
RBC Research Comment: Prudential/GMRBC Research Comment: Prudential/GM
RBC Research Comment: Prudential/GMJay Dinunzio
 
Kpr report
Kpr reportKpr report
Kpr reportFour-S
 
Kpr mill report_update_q3_fy12_v17_apr_2012
Kpr mill report_update_q3_fy12_v17_apr_2012Kpr mill report_update_q3_fy12_v17_apr_2012
Kpr mill report_update_q3_fy12_v17_apr_2012Four-S
 
Spice jet event update-14-06-10
Spice jet   event update-14-06-10Spice jet   event update-14-06-10
Spice jet event update-14-06-10Angel Broking
 
Financial analysis of Ril & competitors
Financial analysis of Ril & competitorsFinancial analysis of Ril & competitors
Financial analysis of Ril & competitorsVikram Dahiya
 

What's hot (19)

Financial Modeling Case on FMCG Sector
Financial Modeling Case on FMCG SectorFinancial Modeling Case on FMCG Sector
Financial Modeling Case on FMCG Sector
 
Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010
Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010
Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010
 
Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010
Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010
Indraprastha Gas Ltd.- Company Update-June 22, 2010
 
Denso India Quick Take
Denso India Quick TakeDenso India Quick Take
Denso India Quick Take
 
Fidelity equity fact sheet_december2011
Fidelity equity fact sheet_december2011Fidelity equity fact sheet_december2011
Fidelity equity fact sheet_december2011
 
Singapore
SingaporeSingapore
Singapore
 
Takeover panorama october 2007-vol xiii - 2007-10-11
Takeover panorama   october 2007-vol xiii - 2007-10-11Takeover panorama   october 2007-vol xiii - 2007-10-11
Takeover panorama october 2007-vol xiii - 2007-10-11
 
Bajaj corp initiating coverage report
Bajaj corp initiating coverage reportBajaj corp initiating coverage report
Bajaj corp initiating coverage report
 
Orchid chemicals event update-10-06-10
Orchid chemicals event update-10-06-10Orchid chemicals event update-10-06-10
Orchid chemicals event update-10-06-10
 
PDF Pensions, Ian Bird, Foster Denovo
PDF Pensions, Ian Bird, Foster DenovoPDF Pensions, Ian Bird, Foster Denovo
PDF Pensions, Ian Bird, Foster Denovo
 
Takeover Panorama October 2011
Takeover Panorama October 2011Takeover Panorama October 2011
Takeover Panorama October 2011
 
RBC Research Comment: Prudential/GM
RBC Research Comment: Prudential/GMRBC Research Comment: Prudential/GM
RBC Research Comment: Prudential/GM
 
Morning news _views_-_04012013
Morning news _views_-_04012013Morning news _views_-_04012013
Morning news _views_-_04012013
 
Kpr report
Kpr reportKpr report
Kpr report
 
Kpr mill report_update_q3_fy12_v17_apr_2012
Kpr mill report_update_q3_fy12_v17_apr_2012Kpr mill report_update_q3_fy12_v17_apr_2012
Kpr mill report_update_q3_fy12_v17_apr_2012
 
Phillips Carbon
Phillips Carbon  Phillips Carbon
Phillips Carbon
 
Spice jet event update-14-06-10
Spice jet   event update-14-06-10Spice jet   event update-14-06-10
Spice jet event update-14-06-10
 
Financial analysis of Ril & competitors
Financial analysis of Ril & competitorsFinancial analysis of Ril & competitors
Financial analysis of Ril & competitors
 
Results Tracker 08.08.2012,
Results Tracker 08.08.2012,Results Tracker 08.08.2012,
Results Tracker 08.08.2012,
 

Similar to Cairn India

Similar to Cairn India (20)

Cairn India
Cairn IndiaCairn India
Cairn India
 
Ril event update - 070510
Ril   event update - 070510Ril   event update - 070510
Ril event update - 070510
 
Cairn India Event Update 25 03 10
Cairn India  Event Update   25 03 10Cairn India  Event Update   25 03 10
Cairn India Event Update 25 03 10
 
Wockhardt ltd result update
Wockhardt ltd result updateWockhardt ltd result update
Wockhardt ltd result update
 
Anant raj
Anant raj Anant raj
Anant raj
 
Hindalco Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Hindalco Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510Hindalco Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Hindalco Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
 
Gipcl
Gipcl Gipcl
Gipcl
 
RIL - result Update
RIL - result UpdateRIL - result Update
RIL - result Update
 
GCPL
GCPLGCPL
GCPL
 
SpiceJet
SpiceJetSpiceJet
SpiceJet
 
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
 
BGR Energy IC, 26 March
BGR Energy  IC, 26 MarchBGR Energy  IC, 26 March
BGR Energy IC, 26 March
 
PVR-Management Meet Note
PVR-Management Meet NotePVR-Management Meet Note
PVR-Management Meet Note
 
Polyplex Corporation
Polyplex CorporationPolyplex Corporation
Polyplex Corporation
 
Gujarat Gas
Gujarat GasGujarat Gas
Gujarat Gas
 
Ispat Industries Management Meet Note-080910
Ispat Industries  Management Meet Note-080910Ispat Industries  Management Meet Note-080910
Ispat Industries Management Meet Note-080910
 
RIL Result Update
RIL Result UpdateRIL Result Update
RIL Result Update
 
Spicejet IC -030510
Spicejet IC -030510Spicejet IC -030510
Spicejet IC -030510
 
Petronet lng ru4 qfy2010-290410
Petronet lng ru4 qfy2010-290410Petronet lng ru4 qfy2010-290410
Petronet lng ru4 qfy2010-290410
 
Gail india event update - 200410
Gail india   event update - 200410Gail india   event update - 200410
Gail india event update - 200410
 

More from Angel Broking

Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612Angel Broking
 
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711Angel Broking
 
Electrosteel castings
Electrosteel castingsElectrosteel castings
Electrosteel castingsAngel Broking
 
Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Bajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result UpdatedBajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result UpdatedAngel Broking
 
Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services Angel Broking
 
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Infosys Result Updated
Infosys Result UpdatedInfosys Result Updated
Infosys Result UpdatedAngel Broking
 
Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011Angel Broking
 

More from Angel Broking (20)

Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612
 
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
 
Electrosteel castings
Electrosteel castingsElectrosteel castings
Electrosteel castings
 
Persistent systems
Persistent systemsPersistent systems
Persistent systems
 
Ht media
Ht mediaHt media
Ht media
 
Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011
 
Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011
 
Telecom sector
Telecom sectorTelecom sector
Telecom sector
 
Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011
 
Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011
 
Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011
 
Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011
 
South Indian Bank
 South Indian Bank South Indian Bank
South Indian Bank
 
Bajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result UpdatedBajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result Updated
 
Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services
 
Fc4 e63c4d01
Fc4 e63c4d01Fc4 e63c4d01
Fc4 e63c4d01
 
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
 
Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011
 
Infosys Result Updated
Infosys Result UpdatedInfosys Result Updated
Infosys Result Updated
 
Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011
 

Recently uploaded

The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdfGale Pooley
 
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdfAdnet Communications
 
Gurley shaw Theory of Monetary Economics.
Gurley shaw Theory of Monetary Economics.Gurley shaw Theory of Monetary Economics.
Gurley shaw Theory of Monetary Economics.Vinodha Devi
 
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...dipikadinghjn ( Why You Choose Us? ) Escorts
 
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Shivane 6297143586 Call Hot Indian Gi...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Shivane  6297143586 Call Hot Indian Gi...Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Shivane  6297143586 Call Hot Indian Gi...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Shivane 6297143586 Call Hot Indian Gi...Call Girls in Nagpur High Profile
 
Indore Real Estate Market Trends Report.pdf
Indore Real Estate Market Trends Report.pdfIndore Real Estate Market Trends Report.pdf
Indore Real Estate Market Trends Report.pdfSaviRakhecha1
 
VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...Call Girls in Nagpur High Profile
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdfGale Pooley
 
VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...
VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...
VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...dipikadinghjn ( Why You Choose Us? ) Escorts
 
Pooja 9892124323 : Call Girl in Juhu Escorts Service Free Home Delivery
Pooja 9892124323 : Call Girl in Juhu Escorts Service Free Home DeliveryPooja 9892124323 : Call Girl in Juhu Escorts Service Free Home Delivery
Pooja 9892124323 : Call Girl in Juhu Escorts Service Free Home DeliveryPooja Nehwal
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdfGale Pooley
 
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )Pooja Nehwal
 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...Call Girls in Nagpur High Profile
 
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...ssifa0344
 
VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...
VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...
VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...dipikadinghjn ( Why You Choose Us? ) Escorts
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdfGale Pooley
 
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsCall Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escortsranjana rawat
 
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptxFinTech Belgium
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024
Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024
Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
 
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
 
Gurley shaw Theory of Monetary Economics.
Gurley shaw Theory of Monetary Economics.Gurley shaw Theory of Monetary Economics.
Gurley shaw Theory of Monetary Economics.
 
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
 
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Shivane 6297143586 Call Hot Indian Gi...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Shivane  6297143586 Call Hot Indian Gi...Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Shivane  6297143586 Call Hot Indian Gi...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Shivane 6297143586 Call Hot Indian Gi...
 
Indore Real Estate Market Trends Report.pdf
Indore Real Estate Market Trends Report.pdfIndore Real Estate Market Trends Report.pdf
Indore Real Estate Market Trends Report.pdf
 
VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdf
 
VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...
VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...
VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...
 
Pooja 9892124323 : Call Girl in Juhu Escorts Service Free Home Delivery
Pooja 9892124323 : Call Girl in Juhu Escorts Service Free Home DeliveryPooja 9892124323 : Call Girl in Juhu Escorts Service Free Home Delivery
Pooja 9892124323 : Call Girl in Juhu Escorts Service Free Home Delivery
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
 
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
 
(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7
(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7
(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7
 
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
 
VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...
VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...
VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdf
 
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsCall Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
 
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
 

Cairn India

  • 1. Event Update | Oil & Gas August 16, 2010 Cairn India NEUTRAL Vedanta buys majority stake in Cairn India CMP Rs333 Target Price - Investment Period - Deal details: Cairn Energy Plc has entered into an agreement with Vedanta Resources Plc for sale of 40-51% stake in Cairn India. The success of the 20% Stock Info mandatory open offer to minorities will determine the extent of stake sale by Sector Oil & Gas Cairn Energy Plc. The all-cash deal is being executed at Rs405/share, wherein Market Cap (Rs cr) 63,155 Rs355/share will be towards the sale and purchase agreement and the balance Beta 1.0 Rs50/share constituting the non-compete fee. Thus, the open offer to the 52 Week High / Low 358/230 minorities will be at the lower price of Rs355/share, which is at 6.7% premium to Avg. Daily Volume 467896 the close price. Thus, the minority shareholders are at a disadvantage. The offer is Face Value (Rs) 10 subject to the government approval. The open offer will be made through Sesa BSE Sensex 18,051 Goa. Post the transaction, Sesa Goa will hold 20% in Cairn India, with Vedanta Nifty 5,418 holding 31- 40%. Reuters Code CAIL.BO Acceptance ratio contingent on Petronas stance: If Petronas tenders its share, the Bloomberg Code CAIR@IN acceptance ratio in case of 100% tendering, will be 53%. However, if Petronas does not tender its share, the acceptance ratio would be higher at 88%. Under Shareholding Pattern (%) both scenarios, at our target price for the stock, we believe that there are limited Promoters 62.4 upsides from current levels in case one decides to tender the shares. Thus, one MF / Banks / Indian Fls 7.3 should be indifferent between tendering the shares in the open offer or retaining FII / NRIs / OCBs 26.0 them. Indian Public / Others 4.3 Outlook and Valuation: We believe the transfer of the ownership of Cairn India from Cairn Energy Plc to Vedanta Resources Plc is unlikely to impact the company’s financials. However, the key risk is Vedanta’s lack of experience in Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr managing the E&P asset portfolio being a new player in the segment. Further, we Sensex 6.2 17.1 25.7 believe that returns to investors will be quite similar in case of tendering the share Cairn 14.3 33.6 136.3 in the open offer or otherwise. Our NAV-based Fair Value of Rs315 assumes long-term crude oil price of US $75/bbl, whereas the current stock price is discounting long-term average crude price of US $79.1/bbl. Thus, upsides from current levels are limited. We recommend Neutral on the stock. Key Financials (Consolidated) Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 1,433 1,623 7,863 14,761 % chg 41.5 13.3 384.5 87.7 Net Profits 803 1,051 4,392 8,752 OPM (%) 60.5 60.4 81.2 83.9 EPS (Rs) 4.2 5.5 23.2 46.1 P/E (x) 78.6 60.1 14.4 7.2 Deepak Pareek +91 22-4040 3800 Ext:340 P/BV (x) 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.6 Deepak Pareek@angeltrade.com RoE (%) 2.7 3.2 12.4 23.0 RoCE (%) 1.3 1.7 13.9 25.9 Amit Vora EV/Sales (x) 45.8 37.8 7.6 4.0 +91 22 -4040 3800 Ext: 322 EV/EBITDA (x) 75.7 62.5 9.4 4.7 Amit.vora@angeltrade.com Source: Company, Angel Research Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
  • 2. Event Update | Oil & Gas Details of the deal Cairn Energy Plc has entered into an agreement with Vedanta Resources Plc for sale of 40-51% stake in its Indian subsidiary, Cairn India. The success of the 20% mandatory (as per the Indian takeover regulations) open offer to minorities will determine the extent of stake sale by Cairn Energy Plc. The all-cash deal is being executed at Rs405/share (US $8.66 as of August 13, 2010 closing exchange rate) wherein Rs355/share (US $7.59) will be towards the sale and purchase agreement and the balance Rs50/share (US $1.07) constituting the non-compete fee. Thus, the 20% mandatory open offer to the other shareholders (except Cairn Energy Plc) will be at the lower price of Rs355/share, which is at 6.7% premium to the close price. Thus, the minority shareholders are at a disadvantage in terms of receiving lesser compensation for selling their stake. The offer is subject to the government approval. The open offer will be made through Sesa Goa. At the end of the transaction, Sesa Goa will hold 20% of Cairn India, with Vedanta itself holding between 31- 40%. Cairn Energy Plc has guided for transaction completion in 1QCY2011. Stake sale will fetch Cairn Energy Plc a premium of 21.7% over the current market price. According to our understanding, deal price reflects the long term crude oil prices of US $96.7/bbl. The transaction will result in Cairn Energy Plc receiving cash consideration of between US $6,651mn (for 40% stake sale) and US $8,480mn (for 51% stake sale). The final amount of the consideration payable to Cairn by Vedanta will be determined once the open offer has closed and the number of Cairn India shares subject to valid acceptance under the open offer is known. Thus, post the deal, Cairn Energy Plc on a fully diluted equity base will hold a minority 21.6-10.6% stake in Cairn India. The companies have also entered into a non-compete undertaking, which will cover the territories of Bhutan, Sri Lanka, Pakistan and India, wherein for a period of three years, Cairn Energy Plc will not engage in the business of oil or gas extraction, its transport or processing and any other business, which competes with the business of Cairn India and its subsidiaries as at the completion date in any of those territories. Cairn has also agreed to a non-solicitation agreement for a period of three years with respect to any person who is or has been an officer or senior employee of the Cairn India Group within a year prior to completion. Cairn and Vedanta have also entered into two reciprocal put and call options in respect of the difference in the number of Cairn India shares actually sold to Vedanta and 51% of Cairn India’s fully diluted share capital on completion (for instance, if only 40% of Cairn India’s shares are sold, then for the balance 11% (51% less 40%) the put and call option is applicable). One put and call option is exercisable after July 1, 2012 and the other after July 1, 2013, in both cases at a Rs405/share (US $8.66). Each option may be exercised to a maximum of 5% of the issued share capital of Cairn India, as at the date of exercise of the option. The put and call options will ensure that a majority interest in Cairn India can be sold to Vedanta. Cairn Energy Plc has agreed to give Vedanta a matching pre-emption right over any subsequent disposal by it of any shares where such transaction would result in the intended recipient obtaining more than 20% of the issued share capital of Cairn India. August 16, 2010 2
  • 3. Event Update | Oil & Gas Acceptance ratio contingent on Petronas stance: Acceptance ratio of the open offer is contingent on the reaction of Petronas to the open offer. If Petronas also tenders its share, the acceptance ratio in case of 100% tendering, will be 53%. However, if Petronas does not tender its share, the acceptance ratio would be higher at 88%. Exhibit 1: Current Shareholding pattern and Acceptance ratio Cairn Energy Plc (%) 62.4 Vedanta Resources (%) - Petronas (%) 14.9 Others (%) 22.7 Total (%) 100.0 Acceptance ratio if Petronas does not tender (%) 88% Acceptance ratio if Petronas tenders (%) 53% Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: based on current no of shares As the extent of the share sale from Cairn Energy Plc is contingent on the success of the open offer by Sesa Goa (Vedanta Group Company), the shareholding pattern post the deal will also vary. We highlight below the shareholding pattern of the company at various levels of acceptance of the open offer. Exhibit 2: Shareholding pattern post the deal under various scenarios Share garnered in offer by Sesa Goa (%) - 5.0 10.0 11.0 15.0 20.0 Cairn Energy Plc will give (%) 51.0 46.0 41.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 Cairn Energy Plc (%) 10.6 15.6 20.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 Vedanta Resources plc (%, incl. Sesa Goa) 51.0 51.0 51.0 51.0 55.0 60.0 Petronas (%) 14.9 14.9 14.9 14.9 14.9 14.9 Others (%) 23.5 18.5 13.5 12.5 8.5 3.5 Total (%) 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: based on diluted no of shares How does the open offer math stack up? The open offer dynamics would continue to hinge on the acceptance ratio, which in turn is dependent on the action of Petronas (14.94% stakeholder in Cairn India). We outline below our working of the acceptance ratio (% of shares likely to accepted in the open offer) under the various scenario and the breakeven point at current levels. We also gauge the sensitivity analysis of the likely returns depending on where the stock price settles post the open offer. Scenario – I: If Petronas does not tender its share in the open offer: In such a scenario, we believe there is likely to be a healthy acceptance ratio of 88.3% assuming all the shareholders agree to tender their shares. August 16, 2010 3
  • 4. Event Update | Oil & Gas Exhibit 3: Sensitivity Analysis of return based on likely price post open offer Open offer price 355 355 355 355 355 355 355 Post open offer price 306 311 316 321 326 331 336 Acceptance ratio (%) 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 Avg. selling price 349 350 350 351 352 352 353 Stock return (%, unadjusted for transaction cost) 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.7 5.9 6.1 6.2 Source: Company, Angel Research Scenario – II: If Petronas does tender its share in open offer: In such a scenario, we believe there is likely to be a acceptance ratio of 53.3% assuming all the shareholders agree to tender their shares. Exhibit 4: Sensitivity Analysis of return based on likely price post open offer Open offer price 355 355 355 355 355 355 355 Post open offer price 306 311 316 321 326 331 336 Acceptance ratio (%) 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 Avg. selling price 332 334 337 339 341 344 346 Stock return(%, unadjusted for transaction cost) 0.0 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.8 3.5 4.2 Source: Company, Angel Research Under both scenarios, at our target price for the stock, we believe that there are limited upsides from current levels in case one decides to tender the shares. Thus, one should be indifferent between tendering the shares in the open offer or retaining them. However, the given the speculation associated with the revision of the open offer price to Rs405/share in line with the price paid to Cairn Energy Plc, there could be decent upsides from current levels. However, chances of the same happening appear slim. As per the SEBI regulation, a promoter is entitled up to 25% of the deal price as the non-compete fees. However, we believe higher price in form of non-compete fees only to Cairn Energy Plc is unjustified. Outlook and Valuation We believe the transfer of the ownership of Cairn India from Cairn Energy Plc to Vedanta Resources plc is unlikely to have any repercussion on the company’s financials. However, the key risk associated with the deal is Vedanta’s lack of expertise and experience in managing the asset portfolio as it is a new player in the segment. Also, Cairn Energy Plc’s superior exploratory capacities will also be a matter of deliberation. However, at the current juncture it is premature to assume the deal to have an adverse impact as Cairn India’s current management would continue to run the business in a professional manner. With regards to the open offer, we believe that returns to the current investors will be quite similar in case of tendering the share in the open offer or otherwise. We recommend a Neutral on the stock. On the fundamental aspect, the development work at the Rajasthan block is progressing well, with production from Train-I, II and III and pipeline for crude evacuation already commissioned, while Train-IV and the marine facility is likely to be commissioned in CY2011. The development work undertaken by the company August 16, 2010 4
  • 5. Event Update | Oil & Gas highlights its superior execution skills. Cairn India has already tied up volumes of 1,43,000bpd with four buyers, viz. RIL, IOC, Essar and MRPL, which puts to rest concerns about users of the waxy crude produced from the Rajasthan field. In the absence of any major discoveries and the company’s focus on development of the Rajasthan block, Cairn India’s stock price is likely to be driven by the direction of the crude oil prices, news flow associated with the developmental status and ramp up of sales. In the past, the CIL stock has demonstrated strong correlation with the crude oil prices, which we expect will continue going ahead too. Thus, in spite of our subdued outlook on oil prices, we believe that the stock will benefit from the positive development updates from the Rajasthan block. Thus, given the expected ramp up in production, the earnings-based valuation will increasingly provide a downward support to our valuations. We have calculated Cairn India’s NAV by estimating cash flows on asset-by-asset basis, with associated assumptions for production profile, oil/gas pricing, royalty/cess, opex and fiscal terms. Our NAV calculation is based on long-term crude oil price of US $75/bbl, whereas the current stock price is discounting long- term average crude price of US $79.1/bbl. We ascribe a fair value of Rs315/share and thus upsides from current levels are limited. We recommend Neutral on the stock. August 16, 2010 5
  • 6. Event Update | Oil & Gas Exhibit 5: SOTP Valuation Summary Particulars (Rs cr) FY2011E FY2012E Rajasthan Block RJ-ON-90/1 (MBA block) 36,437 38,617 Value per share 192 204 RJ-ON-90/1 (MBA EOR) 5,412 6,062 Value per share 29 32 RJ-ON-90/1 (Barmer Hill) 2,525 2,696 Value per share 13 14 RJ-ON-90/1 (Southern fields) 505 539 Value per share 3 3 RJ-ON-90/1 (Other fields) 4,196 4,480 Value per share 22 24 Value of Rajasthan Block 49,075 52,394 Value per share 259 276 CB-OS-2 594 413 Value per share 3 2 Ravva 1,830 1,653 Value per share 10 9 Upside potential (KG-DWN-98/2) 302 331 Value per share 2 2 Exploratory portfolio upsides 6,231 6,828 Value per share 33 36 Total Asset Value 58,032 61,618 Less: Corporate expenditure 2,333 2,243 Value per share 12 12 Less: Net debt (148) (288) Value per share (1) (2) Equity value 55,847 59,663 Equity shares (mn) 190 190 Equity value per share 294 315 Source: Company, Angel Research August 16, 2010 6
  • 7. Event Update | Oil & Gas Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated) Y/E March (Rs cr) CY2007 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Gross sales 1,012 1,433 1,623 7,863 14,761 Less: Excise duty - - - - - Net Sales 1,012 1,433 1,623 7,863 14,761 Other operating income - - - - - Total operating income 1,012 1,433 1,623 7,863 14,761 % chg 41.5 13.3 384.5 87.7 Total Expenditure 572 566 643 1,477 2,383 Operating expenditure 195 213 425 1,145 2,052 Administrative & Staff expenditure 388 331 254 331 331 Inc/dec in stock (11) 22 (37) - - EBITDA 440 866 981 6,386 12,379 % chg 96.7 13.2 551.3 93.8 (% of Net Sales) 43.5 60.5 60.4 81.2 83.9 Total Recouped cost 445 438 357 917 1,522 EBIT (5) 428 623 5,469 10,857 % chg (8893.6) 45.6 777.2 98.5 (% of Net Sales) (0.5) 29.9 38.4 69.6 73.6 Interest & other Charges 2 6 29 238 238 Other Income 132 594 422 208 253 (% of PBT) 105.2 58.5 41.6 3.8 2.3 Share in profit of Associates - - - - - Recurring PBT 126 1,016 1,016 5,439 10,873 % chg 707.0 0.0 435.1 99.9 Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) - 28 - - - PBT (reported) 126 988 1,016 5,439 10,873 Tax 150 184 (35) 1,047 2,121 (% of PBT) 119.5 18.7 (3.4) 19.2 19.5 PAT (reported) (25) 803 1,051 4,392 8,752 Add: Share of earnings of associate - - - - - Less: Minority interest (MI) - - - - - Prior period items - - - - - PAT after MI (reported) (25) 803 1,051 4,392 8,752 ADJ. PAT (25) 832 1,051 4,392 8,752 % chg 26.4 317.9 99.3 (% of Net Sales) (2.4) 58.1 64.8 55.9 59.3 Basic EPS (Rs) (0.1) 4.2 5.5 23.2 46.1 Fully Diluted EPS (Rs) (0.1) 4.2 5.5 23.2 46.1 % chg 30.8 317.9 99.3 August 16, 2010 7
  • 8. Event Update | Oil & Gas Balance Sheet (Consolidated) Y/E March (Rs cr) CY2007 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 1,873 1,936 1,943 1,943 1,943 Preference Capital - - - - - Reserves& Surplus 27,563 30,867 31,925 35,282 36,866 Shareholders Funds 29,436 32,802 33,868 37,225 38,809 Minority Interest - - - - - Total Loans 312 4,356 3,401 3,401 3,401 Deferred Tax Liability 492 554 445 470 517 Total Liabilities 30,240 37,713 37,714 41,096 42,727 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 548 1,445 8,080 9,420 11,170 Less: Acc. Depreciation 61 80 120 251 382 Net Block 488 1,365 7,960 9,169 10,788 Capital Work-in-Progress 2,467 5,203 1,829 1,927 1,927 Goodwill 25,319 25,319 25,319 25,319 25,319 Investments 713 171 1,712 500 500 Current Assets 2,088 7,268 2,373 7,210 9,307 Cash and bank balance 1,332 6,527 929 5,225 6,387 Loans & Advances 487 351 832 832 832 Other 270 390 612 1,153 2,088 Current liabilities 835 1,613 1,481 3,029 5,113 Net Current Assets 1,253 5,655 893 4,181 4,193 Mis. Exp. not written off - - - - - Total Assets 30,240 37,713 37,714 41,096 42,727 August 16, 2010 8
  • 9. Event Update | Oil & Gas Cash Flow Statement (Consolidated) Y/E March (Rs cr) CY2007 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Profit before tax 126 988 1,016 5,439 10,873 Depreciation 459 463 149 602 1,237 Change in Working Capital (91) 121 (956) 1,008 1,149 Less: Other income (73) (214) (422) (208) (253) Direct taxes paid (82) (146) (74) (1,022) (2,074) Others 209 (249) - - - Cash Flow from Operations 548 963 (287) 5,819 10,930 (Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets (4,450) (3,161) (2,899) (2,918) (2,855) (Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments (2,110) (2,506) 1,541 (1,212) - Other income 130 152 422 208 253 Cash Flow from Investing (6,430) (5,516) (936) (3,923) (2,602) Issue of Equity 67 2,532 8 - - Inc./(Dec.) in loans (169) 3,767 (956) - - Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) - - - (1,028) (7,167) Cash Flow from Financing (102) 6,299 (948) (1,028) (7,167) Inc./(Dec.) in Cash (5,984) 1,746 (2,171) 869 1,161 Opening Cash balances 6,135 150 1,897 (274) 595 Closing Cash balances 150 1,897 (274) 595 1,756 Closing bank balance 1,181 4,630 1,204 4,630 4,630 Closing cash and bank balance 1,332 6,527 929 5,225 6,387 August 16, 2010 9
  • 10. Event Update | Oil & Gas Key Ratios Y/E March CY2007 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 78.6 60.1 14.4 7.2 P/CEPS 372.5 58.8 52.6 12.6 6.3 P/BV 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.6 Dividend yield (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 9.7 EV/Sales 60.2 45.8 37.8 7.6 4.0 EV/EBITDA 138.4 75.7 62.5 9.4 4.7 EV/Total Assets 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 Per Share Data (Rs) EPS (Basic) (0.1) 4.2 5.5 23.2 46.1 EPS (fully diluted) (0.1) 4.2 5.5 23.2 46.1 Cash EPS 0.9 5.7 6.3 26.3 52.7 DPS - - - 4.6 32.3 Book Value 155.2 172.9 178.6 196.3 204.6 Returns (%) ROCE (Pre-tax) (0.0) 1.3 1.7 13.9 25.9 Angel ROIC (Pre-tax) 0.5 48.0 12.1 59.9 122.5 ROE (0.1) 2.7 3.2 12.4 23.0 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.9 1.4 Inventory / Sales (days) 44 37 52 21 21 Receivables (days) 59 36 52 20 19 Payables (days) 1,322 531 615 435 548 Working capital cycle (ex-cash) (days) (620) (121) (102) (25) (40) Solvency ratios (x) Net debt to equity (0.1) 0.1 (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) Net debt to EBITDA (4.9) 2.9 (1.9) (0.5) (0.4) Interest Coverage (EBIT/Interest) (3.0) 66.8 21.1 23.0 45.6 August 16, 2010 10
  • 11. Event Update | Oil & Gas Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement Cairn India 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock Yes 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns) : Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%) August 16, 2010 11
  • 12. Event Update | Oil & Gas Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059. Tel: (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800 Research Team Fundamental: Sarabjit Kour Nangra VP-Research, Pharmaceutical sarabjit@angeltrade.com Vaibhav Agrawal VP-Research, Banking vaibhav.agrawal@angeltrade.com Vaishali Jajoo Automobile vaishali.jajoo@angeltrade.com Shailesh Kanani Infrastructure, Real Estate shailesh.kanani@angeltrade.com Anand Shah FMCG, Media anand.shah@angeltrade.com Deepak Pareek Oil & Gas deepak.pareek@angeltrade.com Sushant Dalmia Pharmaceutical sushant.dalmia@angeltrade.com Rupesh Sankhe Cement, Power rupeshd.sankhe@angeltrade.com Param Desai Real Estate, Logistics, Shipping paramv.desai@angeltrade.com Sageraj Bariya Fertiliser, Mid-cap sageraj.bariya@angeltrade.com Viraj Nadkarni Retail, Hotels, Mid-cap virajm.nadkarni@angeltrade.com Paresh Jain Metals & Mining pareshn.jain@angeltrade.com Amit Rane Banking amitn.rane@angeltrade.com John Perinchery Capital Goods john.perinchery@angeltrade.com Jai Sharda Mid-cap jai.sharda@angeltrade.com Sharan Lillaney Mid-cap sharanb.lillaney@angeltrade.com Amit Vora Research Associate (Oil & Gas) amit.vora@angeltrade.com V Srinivasan Research Associate (Cement, Power) v.srinivasan@angeltrade.com Aniruddha Mate Research Associate (Infra, Real Estate) aniruddha.mate@angeltrade.com Mihir Salot Research Associate (Logistics, Shipping) mihirr.salot@angeltrade.com Chitrangda Kapur Research Associate (FMCG, Media) chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com Vibha Salvi Research Associate (IT, Telecom) vibhas.salvi@angeltrade.com Pooja Jain Research Associate (Metals & Mining) pooja.j@angeltrade.com Yaresh Kothari Research Associate (Automobile) yareshb.kothari@angeltrade.com Shrinivas Bhutda Research Associate (Banking) shrinivas.bhutda@angeltrade.com Sreekanth P.V.S Research Associate (FMCG, Media) sreekanth.s@angeltrade.com Hemang Thaker Research Associate (Capital Goods) hemang.thaker@angeltrade.com Technicals: Shardul Kulkarni Sr. Technical Analyst shardul.kulkarni@angeltrade.com Mileen Vasudeo Technical Analyst vasudeo.kamalakant@angeltrade.com Derivatives: Siddarth Bhamre Head - Derivatives siddarth.bhamre@angeltrade.com Jaya Agarwal Derivative Analyst jaya.agarwal@angeltrade.com Institutional Sales Team: Mayuresh Joshi VP - Institutional Sales mayuresh.joshi@angeltrade.com Abhimanyu Sofat AVP - Institutional Sales abhimanyu.sofat@angeltrade.com Nitesh Jalan Sr. Manager niteshk.jalan@angeltrade.com Pranav Modi Sr. Manager pranavs.modi@angeltrade.com Sandeep Jangir Sr. Manager sandeepp.jangir@angeltrade.com Ganesh Iyer Sr. Manager ganeshb.Iyer@angeltrade.com Jay Harsora Sr. Dealer jayr.harsora@angeltrade.com Meenakshi Chavan Dealer meenakshis.chavan@angeltrade.com Gaurang Tisani Dealer gaurangp.tisani@angeltrade.com Production Team: Bharathi Shetty Research Editor bharathi.shetty@angeltrade.com Simran Kaur Research Editor simran.kaur@angeltrade.com Bharat Patil Production bharat.patil@angeltrade.com Dilip Patel Production dilipm.patel@angeltrade.com August 16, 2010 12